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    IDF 2008: Boffins discuss 21st century tech

The virtual will dominate the next century of innovation: speculations from IDF.

By Mary Branscombe in San Francisco, 19 Aug 2008 at 03:00

Industry brightlings convened at Intel’s Developer Forum (IDF) in San Francisco this morning to discuss the central role that technology will play in embracing and overcoming what the 21st century has to offer.

The combination of electricity and mass manufacturing transformed the 20th century, according to senior Intel Fellow Gene Meiran, who coined the term ‘knowledgification’ for the 21st century equivalent.

“Where we depended on the physical like electrons and photons and hardware, in this century we're talking about the virtual universe of the imagination with 1s and 0s and software,” he said during an industry insight session at the conference.

Ex-Disney Imagineer Bran Farren believes that virtual universes will be important, providing us with tools for networked and distributed storytelling. He sees this as “the fundamental essence of how humans interact with each other” and suggests it will offer us the ability “to see the invisible.”

But this isn’t the stuff resigned to fairy stories. Farren peppered his dialogue with visualisations of plane flights that reveal restricted military airspace over time and satellite images of Iraq on the TouchTable. Scrolling back and forwards in time, he revealed large buried buildings at the so-called research facility in Iraq, with transparency making it far easier to see what had really changed and predictive algorithms comparing geology, earthquake zones, population density and transportation routes to predict where other facilities might be found.

Bringing the stuff of sci-fi even more into the foreground of everyday life, iRobot’s chief technology officer (CTO) Rodney Brooks said that the US army will have one iRobot Packbot for every squad of nine soldiers within the next three years and that millions more robots will be in homes soon.

“I can't imagine that 50 years from now every restaurant store, every sidewalk entrance, won’t have robots involved; in the same way that once they had nothing to do with computers and now every coffee shop has microprocessors at work,” he said.

The 20th century also played home to some of the most dramatic advances in healthcare. Dr Michael Blum, the chief medical information officer at the University of California San Francisco, predicts equally dramatic advances in diagnostics and patient monitoring in the 21st century. A single wireless sensor will replace the entire range of monitoring equipment in an intensive care unit, in-home medical tools like the Intel Health Guide will be used to monitor chronic disease at home within the next few years and Minority Report-style interfaces will be used for monitoring hundreds of patients within 10 or 15 years.

In 30 to 50 years, nanomachines will be destroying germs and viruses within the body, but we’ll see femtolasers and laser scalpels that can cut away part of a cell or dissect a single neuron within a decade, according to the speakers. What’s more, nano-ink could display your heart rate and vital signs on “an iPhone under your skin.”

Despite all these benefits on offer, the speakers suggested that we will still find it hard to deal with the masses of information generated. And, while portable health records like the one Intel chairman Craig Barrett showed in his opening keynote are coming, issues of security and privacy will have to be solved first.

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