IDF 2008: Intel’s rise of the machines
By Maggie Holland in San Francisco,
Artificial intelligence (AI) that far outpaces our own is an achievable reality that many will see in their lifetimes, according to chip giant Intel.
Shape shifting, programmable matter, applications that we can control with our mind and robots that are almost human are all on the agenda for the next 40 or so years, Intel’s chief technology officer (CTO) Justin Rattner told delegates at the closing keynote speech of the company’s developer forum in San Francisco.
“Rather than look back, we’re going to look forward 40 years. It’s in that future where many people think that machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence,” he told the audience.
“It might be only a few decades away because technology is advancing not at a linear rate but an exponential rate. The progress in the next 100 years won’t be like the progress in the last 100 years. We’re literally watching technology move at an ever-increasing pace.”
Intel also wowed the audience with a video detailing how programmable matter could become a reality, bridging the world of science fiction and fact sooner than we think.
“It’s a really challenging vision but one we’re making steady progess on. My estimates of how long it will take have gone down from 50 years to a couple more years,” said Jason Campbell, senior staff research scientist at Intel, who joined Rattner on stage for the shape-shifting talk.
In what he claimed was the first public display of 3D catoms (micro robots), Campbell said: “If we built something out of billions of these, like pixels on your display the individual dots would disappear. It’s sort of like your television screen; over time you’d like it to get better and smaller.”
Campbell suggested near-term applications would include 3D visualisation of data in medicine, but also said there were obvious consumer and business applications in terms of the devices we carry around too.
“My cellphone is too big to fit in my pocket and always too big to fit comfortably on my head when I’m making a call,” he added, suggesting that shape shifting would have the answer as the device would morph in size and structure depending on the requirements at the time. “When you’re done with it, maybe you could morph it into a sphere and put it in your backpack or into a bracelet [to wear].”
In addition to the shape shifting vision and talking about advances in collaborative and cognitive radio technology, Intel also showcased its ongoing work in the field of robotics and demo-ed a game that makes use of neural interfaces to activate commands.
“As you can see, we’re making steady progress to Ray Kurzweil’s singularity. Humans and machines are starting to cross the chasm,” Rattner said in wrapping up.
“It should be quite a ride… See you all in the future.”
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