IT Pro is supported by its audience. When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more

NHS starts trial of machine learning system to predict demand

CPAS was developed by NHS Digital and a team of researchers from the University of Cambridge

The NHS has started trialling a machine learning system that aims to predict the upcoming demand for intensive care resources needed to treat patients suffering from the COVID-19 virus.

The COVID-19 Capacity Planning and Analysis System (CPAS) was developed by data scientists from NHS Digital and a team of researchers from the University of Cambridge. It uses data from Public Health England in order to help hospitals plan and manage the deployment of life-saving resources, such as ventilators, across the NHS.

The first stage alpha trials began this week at four hospitals across England in order to demonstrate the accuracy of the system and to see if it needs altered in order to cater to the needs of hospitals.

NHS Digital Chief Medical Officer Professor Jonathan Benger said that being able “to predict demand for critical care beds, equipment and staff” is “essential”.

“CPAS allows individual hospitals to plan ahead, ensuring they can give the best care to every patient. At the same time, the wider NHS can ensure that the ventilators, other equipment and drugs that each intensive care unit will need are in place at exactly the time they are required.

"In the longer term, it is hoped that CPAS can be used to predict hospital length of hospital stay, discharge planning and wider intensive care demand in the time that will come after the pandemic.”

CPAS is based on a machine learning engine called Cambridge Adjutorium, which was developed by University of Cambridge engineer Professor Mihaela van der Schaar with the assistance of her multidisciplinary team.

Related Resource

Building a strong foundation for AI

How a Data-Train-Inference AI model positions your enterprise for long-term success

Download now

Cambridge Adjutorium is said to be a “highly flexible machine learning system” which was developed with medical researchers in mind. It was previously used to develop insights into cardiovascular disease and cystic fibrosis.

“Two weeks ago, the team shared a method with the world that showed it was possible to do capacity planning for COVID-19 patients,” said Dr Jem Rashbass, executive director for Master Registries and Data at NHS Digital.

“We recognised that there was an opportunity to industrialise the methods and deploy this as a service through the national infrastructure managed by NHSD and deliver a real data-driven planning tool to hospitals.”

If CPAS proves successful in the trial, the system will be launched nationwide across the NHS. 

Featured Resources

The Total Economic Impact™ Of Turbonomic Application Resource Management for IBM Cloud® Paks

Business benefits and cost savings enabled by IBM Turbonomic Application Resource Management

Free Download

The Total Economic Impact™ of IBM Watson Assistant

Cost savings and business benefits enabled by Watson Assistant

Free Download

The field guide to application modernisation

Moving forward with your enterprise application portfolio

Free Download

AI for customer service

Discover the industry-leading AI platform that customers and employees want to use

Free Download

Recommended

A new age of asset management
Active Directory

A new age of asset management

1 Jun 2022
Google rescinds mandatory vaccination policy for US staff
Business operations

Google rescinds mandatory vaccination policy for US staff

24 Feb 2022
How coronavirus has accelerated the digital transformation of Britain's public sector
public sector

How coronavirus has accelerated the digital transformation of Britain's public sector

28 Jan 2022
How to manage people successfully from a distance
Business strategy

How to manage people successfully from a distance

27 Oct 2021

Most Popular

Apple patches 'superpower' zero-days affecting iPhones, iPads, and Macs
zero-day exploit

Apple patches 'superpower' zero-days affecting iPhones, iPads, and Macs

18 Aug 2022
Why convenience is the biggest threat to your security
Sponsored

Why convenience is the biggest threat to your security

8 Aug 2022
Google is now spending a staggering amount on blockchain
Business strategy

Google is now spending a staggering amount on blockchain

17 Aug 2022